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    27-Mar-2026

Jordan between the engineering of balance and the logic of storms - By Safwan Al Mbaidin, The Jordan Times

 

 

In my view, major wars are not merely confrontations between opposing sides; they are defining moments that reshape states, test their strategic depth, and measure their ability to resist the pull of impulsive alignment. What we are witnessing today in the escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, within a framework largely shaped by the calculations of the United States, cannot be understood as a passing conflict. Rather, it represents a structural reconfiguration of power dynamics across the region.
 
Within this context, I do not see Jordan as a cautious bystander, but as a quiet actor carefully managing its position within a complex equation—where decisions are not measured by their intensity, but by their capacity to shield the state from the costs of entanglement in open-ended conflicts that exceed control and reproduce instability in more intricate forms.
 
What distinguishes the Jordanian approach, as I read it, is not merely its restraint, but its ability to redefine “role” beyond the traditional binary of alignment or neutrality. Jordan neither withdraws nor rushes forward; instead, it practices what may be described as the “engineering of balance,” where positions are calibrated through a precise equation: safeguarding internal stability, preserving national security, and engaging rationally in international efforts to contain escalation.
 
This mode of thinking may not produce loud positions, but it produces a state capable of endurance in a region that often rewards impulsiveness and penalizes restraint. Herein lies, in my judgment, the value of accumulated political experience—transforming decision-making into a calculated act rather than a reactive impulse.
 
Yet, the real challenge lies not only in managing the external environment, but in fortifying the internal front. Modern conflicts are not fought solely with weapons, but through narratives—and through the capacity to fragment societies from within. Thus, the most serious threat any state may face in such moments is not external pressure, but the erosion of internal trust, and the rise of hasty interpretations and emotional alignments.
 
In this light, rallying around the Hashemite leadership is not merely a political stance, but a strategic necessity. A state surrounded by turbulence requires a stable center of decision-making and a collective awareness that unity is not a luxury, but a condition for survival.
 
The Jordanian experience has repeatedly demonstrated that stability is not a given, but a daily achievement; that balance is not a static condition, but a continuous process of recalibration in response to ever-changing realities.
 
At a time when events accelerate and interests intertwine, the real wager is on states that can read the moment without losing their historical continuity—and manage crises without becoming part of them.
 
Jordan, at this moment, is not seeking a heroic role in a conflict that is not its own. Rather, it is performing a far more complex role: to remain a stable state in a time when the very definition of stability is collapsing.
 
It is precisely here that the true strength of states is revealed—not in the noise of their positions, but in the resilience of their cohesion.
 
States do not endure because they avoid storms, but because they know how to pass through them without losing themselves.
 

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